May 5, 2025 Investment Topics

AI-Powered Glasses: A 2025 Industry Shift

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As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to evolve, it is reshaping the landscape of technology and consumer products in unprecedented waysOne of the most notable trends in the digital realm is the emergence of AI-powered devices, which have rapidly permeated various market segmentsAmong these, AI eyewear is making waves as a highly anticipated product category, with the potential to redefine how we interact with technology and communicate with the world.

The hype surrounding AI glasses has been building steadily, as prominent tech giants like Meta, Apple, Google, Samsung, and Baidu enter the fray with their proprietary designsLesser-known brands such as Rokid, Yingmu Technology, and Shanjiji Technology are also launching innovative AI eyewear solutions, indicating a fierce competition brewing in the industryThe figures indicate that by 2025, we could witness a new era for AI glasses, with projected global sales surpassing 1.4 billion units by 2035. This trend highlights the potential for AI eyewear to emerge as a pivotal player in a burgeoning marketIn fact, experts speculate that it may unveil the next trillion-dollar opportunity in tech.

So, what exactly constitutes AI glasses? At their core, they are essentially eyewear equipped with audio and camera functionalities, designed to facilitate an augmented experience for usersThe notion of smart eyewear is not entirely new; companies like Bose have previously developed AR glasses that leveraged audio technology, while Snap's Spectacles revolutionized quick video captureYet, the renewed interest in AI eyewear can be traced back to the wealth of AI capabilities enabled by sophisticated large models that have come to fruition in recent yearsThis technological leap is transforming eyewear from simple accessories into powerful tools that could emulate the functions of smartphones.

The rise of AI glasses can be divided into several stages: skepticism, debate, and experimentationEach of these phases plays a crucial role in the evolution of any new technology, and in the case of AI eyewear, these stages have not suppressed growth but rather fueled it

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What remains clear is that opportunity is lurking in the shadows, ripe for innovators and early adopters who dare to venture into this exciting new realm.

Historically, Apple's entry during the smartphone revolution and Tesla's push in the electric vehicle sector have illustrated the value of being a pioneerAs the next generation of AI + AR glasses emerges, numerous industry players, including brands like Thunderbird, are poised to lead the charge.

In a recent development, Thunderbird Innovation announced a collaboration with Alibaba Cloud to provide custom AI models for their advanced eyewearThis partnership underscores the importance of integration between hardware and software companies in fostering innovationAs consumer electronics mega-events like CES 2025 loom on the horizon, AI eyewear is primed to be a central focus, especially with Thunderbird planning to showcase two marquee products: the AI Shooting Glasses V3 and the AI + AR Waveguide Glasses X3 Pro.

These innovative models are set to feature AI algorithms uniquely tailored in conjunction with leading domestic AI firmsThe V3 AI Shooting Glasses, which are co-developed with Doctor Glasses, is highly anticipated to launch in the first quarter of this yearThis combination of sophisticated technology and strategic partnerships positions these products to capitalize on a growing market.

Looking at the AI eyewear supply chain, there are abundant opportunities for growthCompared to traditional eyewear, the AI glasses ecosystem is intricately intertwined with advanced electronic components, allowing for a potentially larger scale of production and a broad array of participating manufacturersFrom component suppliers providing lenses, chips, sensors, and batteries, to original design manufacturers (ODMs) and brand creators in the downstream, the industry presents a complex and diverse landscape ripe for exploration.

A noteworthy example of collaboration lies in the partnership between Meta and Ray-Ban in producing smart eyewear

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The estimated production cost for their AI glasses stands at around $164, with an eventual retail price of $300. Analysis of the core supply chain reveals that critical components such as the SoC (System on Chip), storage chips, and various assembled elements dictate the overall production costThe SoC accounts for a significant 34% of this cost, primarily supplied by Qualcomm, while storage components contribute an additional 7%.

As the demand for AI applications escalates, the need for high-performance SoC chips becomes more apparentThe Chinese AIoT SoC chip market is forecasted to grow from 95 billion yuan in 2022 to approximately 280 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a robust compound annual growth rateA multitude of domestic manufacturers can produce these consumer-grade SoC chips, indicating a vibrant market in which many players can thrive.

Conversely, storage chips, while crucial, play a more understated role compared to SoCs, and vendors like GigaDevice and Baway are emerging as significant contributorsThe integration of Baway's storage solutions in notable AI eyewear highlights the industry’s collaborative spirit.

Furthermore, the custom manufacturing landscape in China has been firmly established, featuring leading players such as Luxshare Precision and FoxconnWhile large companies may not see immediate benefits from AI glasses, smaller manufacturers stand to gain considerably by securing critical contracts.

The traditional eyewear market must also adapt to this sweeping changeThe nature of smart eyewear requires not just innovation in technology, but also an understanding of consumer preferencesMajor manufacturers often collaborate with established eyewear brands, as the combination of legacy expertise and modern capabilities offers a compelling advantage in the market.

Ultimately, the critical question becomes how traditional eyewear suppliers can seize the momentCompanies like Doctor Glasses and Mingyue Lenses have an opportunity for exponential growth if they can position themselves strategically amid the burgeoning landscape of AI eyewear.

In summary, 2024 is poised to be a milestone year for the rise of AI hardware

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